There is one clear solution to the affordable-housing crisis: a real estate crash. It's the one housing issue that attracts media attention - because it would hurt the Owns. But while an easing of prices could be devastating for lower-income Owns with risky mortgages, it probably wouldn't bring home ownership within reach for many Own-Nots. Prices have too far to fall; in 2000, two-thirds of the home sales in Fairfax were for $250,000 or less, but last year, fewer than one-twentieth were. And even a modest price slump could trigger a construction slowdown that would make shortages of affordable housing for moderate-income families even worse.
Eventually, politicians may rediscover housing - not as an urban poverty issue, but as a middle-class quality-of-life issue, like gas prices or health care. Homeownership is often described as the American dream, but these days many workers would settle for a decent rental that won't bankrupt their families.
A weblog to publish views and articles on the housing affordability crisis, particularly as it is occurring in Australia, exacerbated by free market real estate salespeople and lobby groups, and indifferent governments who are either laissez faire or actively providing inappropriate tax breaks and clearly inflationary, irresponsible grants like the FHOG and FHOB.
Tuesday, September 05, 2006
Priced Out Of House And Home
The Register-Guard, Eugene, Oregon, USA:
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